TARU PUBLICATIONS
 Journal of Statistics and Management Systems cover
Hybrid ·Peer-reviewed·ISSN (Online): 2169-0014·ISSN (Print): 0972-0510

Monthly Journal: Publishes peer-reviewed aticles on theoretical and applied statistics and management systems, expoloring industrial statistics, actuarial and decision sciences.

Issues up to 2022 co-published with and available at:Taylor & Francis Online
submissions@tarupublications.com
Open Access Research Article

The adoption of mobile financial services in Tanzania: The application of logit model

* ,

* Corresponding author · click or hover a name for details

pp. 897–914Vol. 26Issue 4May 2023DOI: 10.47974/JSMS-967XML
Received:
01 Sep 2021
Accepted:
01 Jun 2022
Published Online:
10 Aug 2023
Article type:
Research Article
Language:
EN
Article no.:
JSMS-967
Pages:
897–914

Abstract

The adoption of mobile technology has received much attention in recent studies in Africa. Several previous studies have assessed mobile financial service adoption using classification choice models, the assessment being primarily a test of statistical significance, but little is known about the performance of choice models, including logistic regression. Using the World Bank Demographic Health Survey (TDHS, 2015/16) dataset for Tanzania, a logistic regression model was fitted to determine the extent to which men use mobile phones for financial transactions. The results demonstrate the statistical significance of a logit model. The variables such as financial institution, region, place of residence, education level, marital status, age of head of household, literacy level and newspaper reading are better predictors of the likelihood that men will use mobile financial services. Regarding the classification models, the results show that the 8-predictor stepwise logit model fits the data well, with approximately 82.01% of the males being correctly classified. However, the results showed that the sensitivity of the model was (85.1 percent) and its specificity (77.94 percent). In terms of AIC and BIC, the reduced model is better because the statistical metrics of AIC and BIC are smaller than those of the full model. The results mean that the statistically significant filtered predictors explain well the motives for the adoption of mobile financial services. These results suggest that the logit model fits the data well, and can therefore be used to assess mobile financial service adoption and other related studies.

Keywords

Subject Classifications

C14: C25: G23: H31

References

[1] Allison, P. D. (2014). Measures of fit for logistic regression, Paper No. 1485-2014. Paper presented at the SAS Global Forum 2014 Conference, Washington D.C. 23-26 March, 2014.
[2]Allison, P. D. (2012). Logistic regression using SAS: Theory and application. SAS institute.
[3]Allison, P. D. (1999). Logistic Regression Using SAS: Theory and Application. Cary, NC: SAS Institute Inc.
[4]Abayomi, O. J., Olabode, A. C., Reyad, M. A. H., Tetteh Teye, E., Haq, M. N., & Mensah, E. T. (2019). Effects of Demographic Factors on Customers’ Mobile Banking Services Adoption in Nigeria. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.30845/ijbss.v10n1p9 
[5]Abdinoor, A., & Mbamba, U. O. L. (2017b). Factors influencing consumers’ adoption of mobile financial services in Tanzania. Cogent Business and Management, 4(1), 37–51. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2017.1392273 
[6]Agwu, M., & Carter, A.-L. (2014). Mobile Phone Banking In Nigeria: Benefits, Problems and Prospects. International Journal of Business and Commerce, 3(6), 50–70. 
[7]Ajide, F. M. (2016). Financial Innovation and Sustainable Development in Selected Countries in West Africa. Journal of Entrepreneurship, Management and Innovation, 12(3), 85–111.://doi.org/10.7341/20161234 
[8]Akinyemi, B. E., & Mushunje, A. (2020). Determinants of mobile money technology adoption in rural areas of Africa. Cogent Social Sciences, 6(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311886.2020.1815963 
[9]Bagley, S. C., White, H., & Golomb, B. A. (2001). Logistic regression in the medical literature : Standards for use and reporting , with particular attention to one medical domain. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 54 (10), 979–985. DOI: 10.1016/s0895-4356(01)00372-9. 
[10] Borucka, A. (2020). Logistic regression in modeling and assessment of transport services.Open Engineering 10(1):26-34. DOI: 10.1515/eng-2020-0029. 
[11] Demirguc-Kunt, A., Klapper, L., Singer, D., & Oudheusden, P. van. (2015). The Global Findex Database 2014: Measuring Financial Inclusion around the World. Policy Research Working Paper; No. 7255. World Bank, Washington, DC. © World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/21865 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.” 
[12] Dou, J., Yamagishi, H., Zhu, Z., Yunus, A. P., & Chen, C. W. (2018). TXT-tool 1.081-6.1 A Comparative Study of the Binary Logistic Regression (BLR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Models for GIS-Based Spatial Predicting Landslides at a Regional Scale. In book: Landslide Dynamics: ISDR-ICL Landslide Interactive Teaching Tools. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57774-6. 
[13] Fall, F., Ky, Y., & Birba, O. (2015). Analyzing the Mobile-Banking Adoption Process among Low-Income Populations: A Sequential Logit Model: Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, 2015, 35 (4), pp.2085-2103. halshs-01225149. 
[14] Fishbein, M., & Ajzen, I. (1997). Belief, Attitude, Intention, and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley (June 1, 1975). 
[15] Khan, J. R., Chowdhury, S., Islam, H., & Raheem, E. (2021). Machine Learning Algorithms To Predict The Childhood Anemia In Bangladesh. Journal of Data Science, 17(1), 195–218. https://doi.org/10.6339/jds.201901_17(1).0009 
[16] Lorenz, E., & Pommet, S. (2021). Mobile money, inclusive finance and enterprise innovativeness: an analysis of East African nations. Industry and Innovation, 28(2), 136–159. https://doi.org/10.1080/13662716.2020.1774867 
[17] Lotto, J. (2020). Understanding sociodemographic factors influencing households’ financial literacy in Tanzania. Cogent Economics and Finance, 8(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2020.1792152 
[18] Mazer, R., & Rowan, P. (2016). Competition in Mobile Financial Services : Lessons from Kenya and Tanzania. The African Journal of Information and Communication, 17, 39–59. DOI: 10.23962/10539/21629 13 
[19] Mori, N., & Mlambiti, R. (2020). Determinants of customers’ adoption of mobile banking in Tanzania: Further evidence from a diffusion of innovation theory. Journal of Entrepreneurship, Management and Innovation, 16(2), 202–230. https://doi.org/10.7341/20201627 
[20] McNeil, H. D. (2012). Older adults’ perceptions of financial technologies. Unpublished thesis Submitted to the School of Graduate Studies in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Master of Arts Retrieved on 16th August 2021 from http://digitalcommons. mcmaster.ca/cgi/viewcontent.cgi article. 
[21] Musheiguza, E., Mahande, M. J., Malamala, E., Msuya, S. E., Charles, F., Philemon, R., & Mgongo, M. (2021). Inequalities in stunting among under-five children in Tanzania: decomposing the 
concentration indexes using demographic health surveys from 2004/5 to 2015/6. International Journal for Equity in Health, 20(1), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12939-021-01389-3 
[22] Niu, L. (2019). A review of the application of logistic regression in educational research : common issues , implications , and suggestions. Educational Review, 72:1, 41 67, DOI: 10.1080/00131911.2018.1483892 
[23] Siyal, M. Y., Chowdhry, B. S., & Rajput, A. Q. (2006). Socio-economic factors and their influence on the adoption of e-commerce by comsumers in singapore. International Journal of Information Technology and Decision Making, 5(2), 317–329. https://doi.org/10.1142/S021962200600199X 
[24] Tabachnick, B. G., & Fidell, L. S. (2019). Using Multivariate Statistics. 1–14. 7th Ed. Pearson Education 
[25] Zhou T., Yaobin L., & Wang B. (2010). Integrating TTF and UTAUT to explain mobile banking use adoption. Computers in Human Behavior, 26, 760-767.
[26] Yang, Y. (2005). Can the strengths of AIC and BIC be shared? A conflict between model identification and regression estimation. Biometrika, 92(4), 937-950. doi: 10.1093/biomet/92.4.937. 
[27] Cheah, C. M., Teo, A. C., Sim, J. J., Oon, K. H., and Tan, B. I. (2011). Factors affecting Malaysian mobile banking adoption: An empirical analysis. International Journal of Network and Mobile Technologies, 2(3), 149-160.
[28] Abdinoor, A., & Mbamba, U. O. L. (2017b). Factors influencing consumers’ adoption of mobile financial services in Tanzania. Cogent Business and Management, 4(1), 37–51. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2017.1392273
[29] Mohd Daud, N., Kassim, M., Ezalin, N., Said, M., Wan, W. S. R., & Mohd Noor, M. M. (2011). Determining Critical Success Factors of Mobile Banking Adoption in Malaysia. Australian Journal of Basic & Applied Sciences, 5(9).
Views: 205Downloads: 60Citations: 2