TARU PUBLICATIONS
Journal of Information and Optimization Sciences cover
Open Access ·Peer-reviewed·ISSN (Online): 2169-0103·ISSN (Print): 0252-2667

WoS  JIF 2026 : 0.4 (Q4)

Powered by:Powered by

Monthly Journal: Publishes theoretical and applied research on topics in information and optimization sciences.

Issues up to 2022 co-published with and available at:Taylor & Francis
submissions@tarupublications.com
Open Access Research Article

Model of optimal control strategies for the transmission of diphtheria

, *

* Corresponding author · click or hover a name for details

pp. 907–939Vol. 47Issue 3March 2026DOI: 10.47974/JIOS-1587XML
Received:
13 Sep 2023
Published Online:
03 Feb 2025
Article type:
Research Article
Language:
EN
Article no.:
JIOS-1587
Pages:
907–939

Abstract

This research introduced an extensive mathematical model to capture the dynamics of diphtheria transmission. The study examined the interaction of five control measures viz: routine diphtheria vaccination, often administered with tetanus and pertussis vaccines; interventions for symptomatic to isolated treatment transitions; collaborative efforts addressing asymptomatic to home quarantine transitions; surveillance measures for home quarantine to isolated treatment transitions; and vigilance to detect cases in individuals exposed to symptomatic cases. We established the epidemiological viability of the model by proving, among others, its positivity, equilibrium under endemic conditions, equilibrium in the absence of disease, global and local stability and boundedness. Also the sensitivity analysis of the model highlighted the importance of the important variables in influencing disease occurrence and spread. In addition, the control measures significantly impact virus transmission dynamics, and results from simulations demonstrated that combination of these control strategies effectively flattened the curve of diphtheria transmission. These findings provided healthcare professionals and policymakers with valuable insights into crucial measures for eradicating diphtheria from the population.

Keywords

Subject Classifications

92B05 General biology and biomathematics62P10 Applications to biology and medical sciences

References

[1] WHO, “Diphtheria - Questions and Answers,” (2017). [Online]. Available: https://www.who.int/news-room/questions-and-answers/item/diphtheria. [Accessed: Dec. 7, 2024].
[2] Mayo Clinic Staff, “Diphtheria: Symptoms and Causes,” (2022). [Online]. Available: https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/diphtheria/symptoms-causes/syc-20351897. [Accessed: Dec. 7, 2024].
[3] Anna M. Acosta, Pedro L. Moro, Susan Hariri, and Tejpratap S.P. Tiwari, “Diphtheria,” CDC, (2021). [Online]. Available: https:// www.cdc.gov / vaccines / pubs/ pinkbook / dip.html#:~:text=Occurrence. [Accessed: Dec. 7, 2024].
[4] Wikipedia, “Diphtheria,” (2022). [Online]. Available: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diphtheria#:~:text=In%201735%2C%20a%20diphtheria%20epidemic. [Accessed: Dec. 7, 2024].
[5] K. Sornbundit, W. Triampo, and C. Modchang, “Mathematical modeling of diphtheria transmission in Thailand,” Computers in Biology and Medicine, vol. 87, pp. 162–168 (2017).
[6] K. T. Akinfe and A. C. Loyinmi, “Stability analysis and semi-analytic solution to a SEIR–SEI Malaria transmission model using He’s variational iteration method,” Preprints (2022).
[7] J. O. Agbomola and A. C. Loyinmi, “Modelling the impact of some control strategies on the transmission dynamics of Ebola virus in human–bat population: An optimal control analysis,” Heliyon, vol. 8, no. 12 (2022), Art. no. e12121. [Online]. Available: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e12121.
[8] A. C. Loyinmi, T. K. Akinfe, and A. A. Ojo, “Qualitative analysis and dynamical behavior of a Lassa haemorrhagic fever model with exposed rodents and saturated incidence rate,” Scientific African, vol. 14 (2021), Art. no. e01028. [Online]. Available: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2021.e01028.
[9] Z. Islam, S. Ahmed, M. M. Rahman, M. F. Karim, and M. R. Amin, “Global stability analysis and parameter estimation for a diphtheria model: A case study of an epidemic in Rohingya refugee camp in Bangladesh,” Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine (2022).
[10] S. Kanchanarat, S. Chinviriyasit, and W. Chinviriyasit, “Mathematical assessment of the impact of imperfect vaccination on diphtheria transmission dynamics,” Symmetry, vol. 14, no. 10 (2022).
[11] V. Singh, R. C. Poonia, S. Kumar, P. Dass, P. Agarwal, V. Bhatnagar, and L. Raja, “Prediction of COVID-19 corona virus pandemic based on time series data using support vector machine,” Journal of Discrete Mathematical Sciences and Cryptography (2020). DOI: 10.1080/09720529.2020.1784535.
[12] V. Bhatnagar, R. C. Poonia, P. Nagar, S. Kumar, V. Singh, L. Raja, and P. Dass, “Descriptive analysis of COVID-19 patients in the context of India,” Journal of Interdisciplinary Mathematics, vol. 24, no. 3, pp. 489–504 (2021). DOI: 10.1080/09720502.2020.1761635.
[13] J. Mondal, P. Samui, and A. N. Chatterjee, “Optimal control strategies of non-pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 control,” Journal of Interdisciplinary Mathematics, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 125–153 (2021). DOI: 10.1080/09720502.2020.1833459.
[14] A. C. Loyinmi, S. O. Gbodogbe, and K. O. Idowu, “On the interaction of the human immune system with foreign body: Mathematical modeling approach,” Kathmandu University Journal of Science, Engineering and Technology, vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 1–17 (2023). [Online]. Available: https://journals.ku.edu.np/kuset/article/view/137.
[15] O. K. Idowu and A. C. Loyinmi, “Qualitative analysis of the transmission dynamics and optimal control of COVID-19,” EDUCATUM Journal of Science, Mathematics and Technology, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 54–70 (2023). DOI: 10.37134/ejmst.vol10.1.7.2023.
[16] A. C. Loyinmi and T. K. Akinfe, “Exact solution to the family of Fisher reaction-diffusion equations using Elzaki homotopy transformation perturbation method,” Engineering Reports, vol. 2 (2020), Art. no. e12084. DOI: 10.1002/eng2.12084.
[17] K. O. Idowu and A. C. Loyinmi, “Impact of contaminated surfaces on the transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease (COVID-19),” Biomedical Journal of Scientific & Technical Research, vol. 51, pp. 42280–42290 (2023). DOI: 10.26717/BJSTR.2023.51008046.
[18] A. C. Loyinmi and O. W. Lawal, “The asymptotic solution for the steady variable-viscosity free convection flow on a porous plate,” Journal of Nigerian Association of Mathematical Physics, vol. 19, pp. 273–276 (2011).
[19] T. K. Akinfe and A. C. Loyinmi, “An improved differential transform scheme implementation on the generalized Allen-Cahn equation governing oil pollution dynamics in oceanography,” Partial Differential Equations in Applied Mathematics, vol. 6, Art. no. 100416 (2022). DOI: 10.1016/j.padiff.2022.100416.
[20] A. C. Loyinmi and S. O. Gbodogbe, “Mathematical modeling and control strategies for Nipah virus transmission incorporating Bat-to-pig-to-human pathway,” EDUCATUM Journal of Science, Mathematics and Technology, vol. 10, no. 2 (2023). DOI: 10.37134/ejsmt.vol11.1.7.2024.
[21] T. K. Akinfe, “A reliable analytic technique for the modified prototypical Kelvin-Voigt viscoelastic fluid model by means of the hyperbolic tangent function,” Partial Differential Equations in Applied Mathematics, vol. 7, Art. no. 10523 (2023). DOI: 10.1016/j.padiff.2023.10523.
[22] A. C. Loyinmi and T. K. Akinfe, “An algorithm for solving the Burgers-Huxley equation using the Elzaki transform,” SN Applied Sciences, vol. 2, pp. 1–17 (2020). DOI: 10.1007/s42452-019-1652-3.
[23] T. K. Akinfe and A. C. Loyinmi, “A solitary wave solution to the generalized Burgers-Fisher equation using an improved differential transform method: A hybrid approach scheme,” Heliyon, vol. 7, Art. no. e07001 (2021). DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e07001.
[24] A. C. Loyinmi and S. O. Gbodogbe, “MATLAB code to simulate the effects of combination of control strategies on the transmission of diphtheria [Dataset],” Dryad (2023). DOI: 10.5061/dryad.qrfj6q5ng.
[25] A. C. Loyinmi and K. O. Idowu, “Semi-analytical approach to solving Rosenau-Hyman and Korteweg-de Vries equations using integral transform,” Tanzania Journal of Science, vol. 49, pp. 26–40 (2023). DOI: 10.4314/tjs.v49i1.3.
[26] A. C. Loyinmi, A. I. Oredein, and S. U. Prince, “Homotopy Adomian decomposition method for solving linear and nonlinear partial differential equations,” Tai Solarin University of Education Journal of Pure and Applied Sciences, vol. 1, pp. 254–260 (2018).
[27] A. C. Loyinmi, O. W. Lawal, and D. O. Sottin, “Reduced differential transform method for solving partial integro-differential equation,” Journal of Nigerian Association of Mathematical Physics, vol. 43, pp. 37–42 (2017).

Views: 136Downloads: 77Citations: 0