<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<article article-type="Research Article">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">journal-of-statistics-and-management-systems</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title> Journal of Statistics and Management Systems</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn publication-format="electronic">2169-0014</issn>
      <issn publication-format="print">0972-0510</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Taru Publications</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.47974/JSMS-1379</article-id>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Predicting the success of online news about movies with Google Analytics and Twitter : A machine learning methodology</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name>
            <surname>Yeste</surname>
            <given-names>Víctor</given-names>
          </name>
          <aff>Department of Applied Statistics and Operational Research and Quality, Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, 46022, Spain</aff>
          <aff>School of Science, Engineering and Design, Universidad Europea de Valencia, Valencia, 46010, Spain</aff>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Calduch-Losa</surname>
            <given-names>Ángeles</given-names>
          </name>
          <aff>Department of Applied Statistics and Operational Research and Quality, Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, 46022, Spain</aff>
          <aff>Spain</aff>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Ontalba-Ruipérez</surname>
            <given-names>José Antonio</given-names>
          </name>
          <aff>Department of Audiovisual Communication, Documentation and History of Art, Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, 46022, Spain</aff>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Serrano-Cobos</surname>
            <given-names>Jorge</given-names>
          </name>
          <aff>Department of Audiovisual Communication, Documentation and History of Art, Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, 46022, Spain</aff>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <volume>28</volume>
      <issue>4</issue>
      <fpage>761</fpage>
      <lpage>793</lpage>
      <pub-date date-type="pub">
        <day>12</day>
        <month>05</month>
        <year>2025</year>
      </pub-date>
      <abstract>
        <p>This paper presents a machine learning methodology for predicting the success of online movie news with web analytics data from Google Analytics and social media analytics data from Twitter (now known as X). This methodology is built in two phases. The first consists of segmenting the data with the different categories that apply to the articles (in this case, all news published, news about movies, and news with a trailer) and performing a multiple linear regression to extract a prediction equation for each success variable. The second phase includes validating the prediction equations with test data, which helps to select the most reliable prediction depending on its accuracy. This methodology has shown that it can account for some of the variability of the success variables and can make their prediction. It provides a basis for future research to improve accuracy and test new variables that can enrich this analysis. This article also helps editorial teams make better data-driven decisions, such as more efficient resource planning or optimising articles to achieve a specific goal.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Online success</kwd>
        <kwd>Online news</kwd>
        <kwd>Digital journalism</kwd>
        <kwd>Web analytics</kwd>
        <kwd>Google Analytics</kwd>
        <kwd>Social media</kwd>
        <kwd>Social media analytics</kwd>
        <kwd>Twitter</kwd>
        <kwd>X</kwd>
        <kwd>Success prediction</kwd>
        <kwd>Multiple linear regression</kwd>
        <kwd>MLR</kwd>
        <kwd>Statistics</kwd>
        <kwd>Machine learning</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
      <custom-meta-group>
        <custom-meta>
          <meta-name>access</meta-name>
          <meta-value>open</meta-value>
        </custom-meta>
        <custom-meta>
          <meta-name>retracted</meta-name>
          <meta-value>no</meta-value>
        </custom-meta>
      </custom-meta-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
