<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<article article-type="Research Article">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">journal-of-statistics-and-management-systems</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title> Journal of Statistics and Management Systems</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn publication-format="electronic">2169-0014</issn>
      <issn publication-format="print">0972-0510</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Taru Publications</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.47974/JSMS-1019</article-id>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Global sensitivity analysis in the SIHR epidemiological model with application to COVID-19</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name>
            <surname>Ismail</surname>
            <given-names>Liban</given-names>
          </name>
          <aff>CNRS UMR 6620, Campus Universitaire des Cézeaux, 3 place Varsarely, CS 60026, Université Clermont Auvergne, Aubière Cedex, TSA 60026, 63178, France</aff>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Djellout</surname>
            <given-names>Hacène</given-names>
          </name>
          <aff>Campus Universitaire des Cézeaux, 3 place Varsarely, CS 60026, Université Clermont Auvergne, Aubière Cedex, TSA 60026, 63178, France</aff>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Chauvière</surname>
            <given-names>Cédric</given-names>
          </name>
          <aff>CNRS UMR 6620, Campus Universitaire des Cézeaux, 3 place Varsarely, CS 60026, Université Clermont Auvergne, Aubière Cedex, TSA 60026, 63178, France</aff>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <volume>27</volume>
      <issue>7</issue>
      <fpage>1277</fpage>
      <lpage>1299</lpage>
      <pub-date date-type="pub">
        <day>30</day>
        <month>11</month>
        <year>2024</year>
      </pub-date>
      <abstract>
        <p>This paper is devoted to analyze the sensitivity of input parameters (basic reproduction number, cure rate, hospitalization rate) on the evolution of the SIHR epidemiological model. Lagrange polynomials affords a convenient way for computing Sobol indices. Those indices furnish important information on the relative weight of each uncertain input parameters. We use the COVID-19 disease as a numerical application to illustrate the study for two different basic reproduction numbers R0.  Furthermore, we consider a sinusoidal and logistic infection rate and we give the Sobol indices when the entry parameters are assumed to follow the uniform law.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>SIHR model</kwd>
        <kwd>Lagrange polynomial</kwd>
        <kwd>Stochastic collocation method</kwd>
        <kwd>Sobol indices</kwd>
        <kwd>Simulations</kwd>
        <kwd>COVID-19</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
      <custom-meta-group>
        <custom-meta>
          <meta-name>access</meta-name>
          <meta-value>open</meta-value>
        </custom-meta>
        <custom-meta>
          <meta-name>retracted</meta-name>
          <meta-value>no</meta-value>
        </custom-meta>
      </custom-meta-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
