<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<article article-type="Research Article">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">journal-of-statistics-and-management-systems</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title> Journal of Statistics and Management Systems</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn publication-format="electronic">2169-0014</issn>
      <issn publication-format="print">0972-0510</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Taru Publications</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.47974/JSMS-1350</article-id>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Implementing LSTM models for forecasting gold prices and analyzing volatility</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Bhatnagar</surname>
            <given-names>Vaibhav</given-names>
          </name>
          <aff>Department of Computer Applications, Manipal University Jaipur, Jaipur, Rajasthan, 303007, India</aff>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name>
            <surname>Saudagar</surname>
            <given-names>Abdul Khader Jilani</given-names>
          </name>
          <aff>Information Systems Department, College of Computer and Information Sciences, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh, 11432, Saudi Arabia</aff>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Poonia</surname>
            <given-names>Ramesh Chandra</given-names>
          </name>
          <aff>Department of Computer Science, CHRIST (Deemed to be University), Delhi NCR, Ghaziabad, Uttar Pradesh, 201003, India</aff>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <volume>27</volume>
      <issue>5</issue>
      <fpage>1085</fpage>
      <lpage>1094</lpage>
      <pub-date date-type="pub">
        <day>05</day>
        <month>08</month>
        <year>2024</year>
      </pub-date>
      <abstract>
        <p>Stochastic volatility analysis is a sophisticated method for forecasting gold prices, accounting for the fact that volatility which is the degree of variation in gold prices is not constant over time but rather fluctuates unpredictably. This approach can be particularly effective because gold prices are often subject to sudden and unpredictable changes due to various economic, political, and market factors. Different statistical and machine learning models are available to predict the Gold price such as ARIMA, GARCH, SVM, Random Forest, GRU and CNN. In this paper LSTM model is implemented to forecast the Gold Price on the basis of 10 years of data from January 2013 to July 2023. Ater the implementation the value of Mean Absolute Error obtained is 1775.6294. In the future, this model can be extended to different versions of LSTM.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>Gold Price</kwd>
        <kwd>LSTM</kwd>
        <kwd>MAE</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
      <custom-meta-group>
        <custom-meta>
          <meta-name>access</meta-name>
          <meta-value>open</meta-value>
        </custom-meta>
        <custom-meta>
          <meta-name>retracted</meta-name>
          <meta-value>no</meta-value>
        </custom-meta>
      </custom-meta-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
